Gilliam Albrechtsen

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in the run-up to our March 2022 Economic and fiscal outlook represented a significant adverse shock, primarily via a sharp rise in gas and oil prices. In this box, we considered where the UK gets its energy from and the channels through which higher energy

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But because the UK operates in international gas markets, prices will be hit by any drop in global supply. It comes as the forces struggle to retain female personnel amid a sex harassment crisis engulfing the military. All three armed forces are experiencing a recruitment and retention crisis, with the

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Still, it’s an open question whether the U.S. will be able to indefinitely continue its current level of support, said Mark Cancian, a CSIS senior adviser who has studied the volumes of artillery used in the war. While defense spending in the United States and Europe is trending

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Inflation in the Eurozone was 8.1 percent in May, the highest since 1997, and energy prices exploded. Within days of the Russian invasion, European natural gas prices had jumped nearly 70 percent, while oil hit $105 a barrel, an eight-year high. The Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development anticipates

The war that erupted in eastern Ukraine in 2014 has already left 14,000 dead and an estimated 1.4 million displaced. As the war approaches its second anniversary, severe weapons shortages and worrying signs of waning Western support are undermining Ukraine’s war effort. This may lead Putin to

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One ex senior minister suggested to me that there was a generational divide between those who had lived with the threat of the Cold War era, and those who had not. The former minister, currently a serving Conservative MP, pointed out that the prime minister grew up without that existential

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“The civil war in Northern Ireland ended partly because outside powers [the US in particular] put a lot of pressure and helped to build a framework [for peace]”. The report, cites two people with close links to the Kremlin and says that senior US officials were made aware of the

How long the fighting will last and the form it takes depends on the extent and type of the problem. Many experts I consulted were pessimistic about the prospect of  a negotiated settlement to end the war in the foreseeable future. But a couple offered scenarios for what such a

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Meanwhile Kaja Kallas, the Prime Minister of Estonia - which borders Russia - has told BBC News "we're gonna help Ukraine with all the means that we can" including political support and by sending weapons. The UK government is providing a range of economic, humanitarian and defensive military assistance to

The UK has been threatened with a "military response" by Russia after pledging to send long-range missiles to Ukraine. He also wants Nato to abandon military exercises and stop sending weapons to eastern Europe, seeing this as a direct threat to Russia's security. Russia has denied it is planning any

While Canada has been one of the most consistent and vocal supporters of Ukraine's bid to join NATO,  it probably couldn't influence Russia's actions on its own. By joining NATO, Ukraine could obtain a much greater degree of security. Each of NATO's 30 members would be obliged to defend Ukraine

Andrey Kelin told Times  Radio on Friday that any measure the UK took against Moscow would be met with an equal response, but he refused to give further detail on how this could look. The individuals concerned are Gennady Timchenko, Boris Rotenberg, and Igor Rotenberg, all oligarchs who Mr Johnson

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Prof Chalmers said he did not think the UK would send over large equipment as Russia's superior force would destroy it quickly and Ukrainian forces would need training on how to use and maintain it. It has sent military equipment, weapons as  well as ammunition as well as anti-tank drones

But the official noted there had been a combination of sharp bellicose rhetoric from Moscow, accusations of being provoked by Ukraine and Nato, a lack of transparency, and a worrying track record, including the annexation of Crimea in 2014. "Has Putin decided to initiate a conflict? The jury is still